How to increase investment in next generation nuclear power

The fourth generation of nuclear reactors, currently in development, may simplify the task. In particular, small modular reactors (SMRs) will require a lower capital outlay for generation capacity that should be, in principle, well-suited to combining with increasing levels of renewable generation to support stable and efficient power grids.

Generation IV reactors de-risk project development

Many Generation IV reactors promise additional efficiencies and cost savings, largely through a design which allows much of the construction to be completed in a factory before being shipped to its operating location.

This de-risking of the project development phase should, once proven, help to overcome financial barriers to investment in nuclear projects and therefore support broader adoption.

Despite its promise, Generation IV projects remain in early-stage development, and funding any type of nuclear project has never been easy. Traditional plants require significant capital investment and can take around a decade to complete.

Governments must allay public concerns

Then there is the further challenge of public concern over the perceived risks of nuclear power, which remains strong in many countries. Memories of Chernobyl and Fukushima – supported by pop culture re-imaginings (including the excellent HBO drama on Chernobyl) – continue to pose a barrier to development in some jurisdictions, notwithstanding that the practical risk from nuclear power is extremely limited.

Against this backdrop, it is no surprise that most of the new nuclear supply that has been introduced over the past 10 years has been in China, where state-owned companies implement central decisions.

Energy crisis prompts policy rethink

However, there is strong evidence of renewed interest in nuclear energy, triggered by the growing urgency of the climate crisis, the war in Ukraine, improved construction techniques for Generation III projects and the promised technological advances of Generation IV reactors.

Indeed, both Germany and Belgium – which had planned to phase out nuclear power by 2022 and 2025 respectively – are reviewing their policies.

Among countries with existing nuclear power fleets, the change in attitude is most obvious in Japan, where Prime Minister Fumio Kishida has signaled a policy rethink. A decade on from the Fukushima disaster, Japan is bringing idle plants back online, prolonging the operational life of existing reactors and recommitting to developing new reactor technology.

Similarly, South Korea has moved to expand its nuclear power investment by restarting construction on two domestic nuclear projects and setting a target for nuclear power to provide a minimum of 30% of the nation’s electricity by 2030. The government in Seoul is also increasing the activity of its state-owned companies in foreign nuclear schemes, including in Poland, Saudi Arabia and the Czech Republic.

States share cost of new project developments

Around the world, some governments have started sharing R&D expenses on fourth generation projects. The UK recently announced GDP120m of funding to support the development of new nuclear energy projects, while a similar scheme in South Korea has pledged USD100m.

Other countries are going further, designing regulatory and commercial frameworks that encourage investment as well as introducing revenue support measures such as long-term contracts and price guarantees.

EU set to include nuclear in green taxonomy

Nuclear energy also looks set to be included in the EU Taxonomy, the European Union’s list of officially approved “green” investments, although this may be subject to legal challenge.

Assuming this policy stands, this characterization will allow significant pools of capital to invest in nuclear power which would not otherwise be the case.

In parallel, financial incentives offered in countries seeking private sector investment in new-build nuclear might include a combination of long-term contracts, price guarantees, direct state investment and, critically, the sharing of construction-phase risk, which is typically viewed as a major impediment to mobilizing any form of private capital.

This more positive mood around nuclear power is driving renewed interest from corporates. Established players, such as EDF and Rolls Royce, are being joined by new entrants in both the roll-out of third generation and the development of fourth generation technology to provide power to national grids.

TerraPower, backed by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, has specific, long-term social and environmental aims and is now involved in the development of an experimental reactor project in Idaho.

Still, Generation IV is largely untested. What we can say with certainty is that nuclear power is again at the forefront of discussions around energy security and climate change – and that is a big step forward.

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